We mark our own homework.
Every range we make can be checked against what happened next. Here is how often the price actually landed inside it — recalculated live from a year of data.
Share of days in the past year where the price 30 days later landed inside the P10–P90 range made that day. Target: about 80%. Higher means ranges were too wide; lower means too narrow.
No cherry-picking.
Out of sample only. Each range uses only data available on the day it was made.
Every day counts. We check every day in the window, not the best examples.
Misses are shown. Red marks show when the price broke out of the range.
Statistical today, AI tomorrow. This scorecard measures our volatility ranges. When our AI forecast engine is published, its results will be scored here in exactly the same way.
Start with one coin.
Search any coin to see its range, risk score and red flags — free, no account needed.